It can be tempting to lump our Renewables MMI in with the Rare Earths MMI as sub-indexes that rarely move with fairly calm, if lower-priced, markets.
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That might be true of the once-high-flying RE market, but to say that about renewables would be a mistake. Sure, many of the magnets and batteries derived from rare earth elements end up in wind power installations and hybrid/electric cars so there’s a direct relation from end use, but the real difference maker in the renewables market is solar.
An estimated 2% of all new jobs created in 2016 in the U.S. came from the solar industry, according to the Department of Energy. 10% Of those jobs came from non-warm weather climes such as Colorado, too, so regional limitation is essentially over. The solar industry employs more than three times the amount of people as the coal industry, despite the political power of the latter. Solar installations are expected to rise by 29% this year from last. While wind and other renewable technologies have a long road to adoption, the solar industry is largely “there” when it comes to supplying energy directly to homes and businesses with solar silicon photovoltaic panels affixed to them and even directly to modern energy grids.
Aside from those statistics, too, there are market forces at play that make solar adoption a strong investment opportunity. China’s National Energy Administration has revealed its solar power production more than doubled in 2016, hitting 77.42 gigawatts, making China the world’s largest producer of solar energy.
But Jeff, you say, isn’t this just yet another promised tipping point? Haven’t we been promised all of this before? What makes me feel different about these studies is that they are based on jobs, and not adoption numbers alone. You may have noticed that we have a new President who is very eager to develop new American jobs. As much as President Donald Trump might like oil pipelines, coal mines and steel mills, he’ll need solar to create millions of American jobs and to make us all tired of winning so much.
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The DOE report says 187,117 workers are employed at coal, oil, and natural gas power plants compared to nearly 374,000 people in the solar industry. This is somewhat misleading because an array of direct and indirect jobs related to exploration, excavation, construction, and well surveying—still employs millions of people come from fossil fuels such as oil and natural gas exploration and those aren’t counted. Still, the National Solar Jobs Census 2016 documents truly dramatic growth of a the solar industry in less than a decade and that 10% projected increase isn’t something the Trump administration can afford to miss. Workers who install rooftop solar panels make up the largest share employment in the sector at 137,133 jobs.
Increasing installations would be considered the low-hanging fruit of jobs growth. The Renewables MMI was up 2% this month.