Articles in Category: Precious Metals

Tired of being an also ran?

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Having status symbols no better than the guy next door? Ever pulled up in your yacht only to find, 10 minutes later, a guy with a yacht twice the size pulls into the same bay right next to you? Yeah, tiresome isn’t it?

Who Needs a Ferrari When You Can Have a Gold iPhone 7?

Well, while everyone else is queueing outside an Apple store from midnight before the next morning release of a new smartphone, we have something so much better for you. This is the new iPhone 7 from Goldgenie, finished in 24-karat Gold, Rose Gold or Platinum, and if that is not enough for you they do a super luxury version edged and decorated with Swarovski Crystals and even high-quality diamonds. Here’s the best bit, this exclusive, oh-so-cool, piece of one-upsmanship (if there is such a word) luxurious collection will be available with prices starting at just $3,150 (£2,400).

goldgenie_gold_iphone7_550

Why buy a bigger yacht when you can have a 24-karat gold iPhone 7? Source: goldgenie.

However if you really want to push that boat out and outdo the sheikh next to you, go for the $14,300 (£11,000 ) Diamond Rockstar. A bargain, right? It is also rumored that the luxury brand may even be replicating the $3 million (£2.3m) iPhone 6s Diamond Ecstasy encrusted with over 800 diamonds. Read more

The commodities sector is suffering from lackluster prices, weak demand and, in many cases, overproduction but one sector is on the up, and that’s precious metals. Particularly gold and silver prices.

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According to the Financial Times, gold and silver have been among the best performing metals during 2016, powering a sharp rally in stock prices and helping miners ease concerns over their finances.

Gold Prices Take Off

Since the start of the year, gold has risen 27% while silver is up 46% giving more scope to the sector to return to dividend payments.

Source: Financial Times

Source: Financial Times

Many miners cut dividends after the price of gold, which peaked at about $1,900 in 2011, started to fall sharply in 2013. Although gold miners were not alone, they did take action early. Read more

We rarely see such positive growth in metal prices as we did in the August MMI Price Trends Report.

MM-IndX_TRENDS_Chart_August2016_FNL-TOPVALUE100

All the metals we track were up save for Aluminum, which fell only 1.3%, and renewables and rare earths, which held flat. The Stainless Steel MMI increased 9% amid uncertainty about Chinese nickel ore supply after mining crackdowns in top supplier, the Philippines.

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Meanwhile, the most bullish of bull runs continued for our Global Precious MMI which added a 7.2% increase to its jump last month to knock on the door of the top 10% of the IndX. The platinum group metals had strong increases along with gold and silver this month.

Wall Street Bull

“Hey metal buyers, remember me?” Wall Street bull courtesy of iStock.

Palladium, particularly, made higher highs and stumbled to lower lows in classic bull market fashion.

So buy quickly before prices increase more, right? Wrong. Our Raw Steels MMI posted a healthy 4% increase, but it’s still heavily dependent on China’s stimulus programs to keep demand up in the largest global consumer of steel products. If there is a pullback in stimulus, prices could fall dramatically. The same is true for copper.

Unlike diamonds, bullish trends in commodities and industrial metals don’t last forever. Continue to make informed buying decisions in this thriving market — watch China’s stimulus program and the strength of the U.S. dollar post- Brexit — and remember that today’s price strength might be tomorrow’s carpet getting pulled out from under your feet.

This week, a comprehensive analysis of Dodd-Frank conflict minerals compliance filings showed that while some companies are going the extra mile to insure tantalum, tin, tungsten and gold are NOT influenced by the war in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, some still have a long way to go.

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Sadly, no Party City filing this year attesting to how conflict-free mylar party balloons are.

MetalMiner Olympic Construction Beat

The rushed and low-bid Olympic venues of Rio struck again this week as we all had to make sure to nut adjust the contrast on our sets when the games treated us to green water in indoor pools. Apparently they just ran out of pool-cleaning chemicals, not a high-up line-item in the Olympic punchlist, I’d imagine.

Just pretend it’s St. Patrick’s Day in Chicago. Rio visitors and athletes also got a visit from some ROUS’ (rodents of unusual size). Yes, they very much exist.

Metal Bulls

Our Metal Markets kept gaining this week as the Federal Reserve is still showing no stomach for interest rate increases and China’s stimulus keeps on stimulating. The London Metal Exchange is even breaking 30 years of tradition and introducing gold and silver contracts to get in on all of the precious fun.

LMEring_550

“Hey guys, let’s do this for silver and gold, too! Then, eventually, PGMs, too?” Source: London Metal Exchange.

Fresh off of slapping member-warehouse operator Metro International on the wrist, the LME is looking to expand its product mix and bring a greater return back to owner Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, Ltd.

Free Download: The August 2016 MMI Report

HKEX could use the help after this week.

Dr. Christopher Bayer, Ph.D., of the Payson Center for International Development of Tulane University Law School, recently responded to an e-mail interview with MetalMiner Editor Jeff Yoders about the recent Conflict Mineral Benchmarking Study he led of Dodd-Frank Conflict Minerals compliance.

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More than three years after U.S. companies began filing reports about their efforts to find conflict minerals linked to armed militias in Africa in their supply chains, 65% say they still can’t make a determination about what minerals are in those chains. Bayer explained more in this MetalMiner Q&A.

Chris Bayer. Image courtesy of Tulane University.

Chris Bayer. Image: Tulane University.

Jeff Yoders: Analysis of the reports shows that conflict-minerals reports are boosting supply-chain transparency for many of these companies. Is that an added benefit to reporting?

Chris Bayer, PhD: Yes, a company can use Dodd-Frank Section 1502 to gain insight into its own supply chain, to a degree that would probably not have been previously possible. Whether and how companies may leverage that to their advantage is up to them, but without question, information is power. Quite a number of companies are weeding out non-performing suppliers in their supply chain according to their defined parameters on conflict minerals.

JY: 10% Of all filers said, or implied, they had conflict-free products. What did you and your team’s research tell you about these claims?

CB: First off, it is in fact an extraordinary claim for a company to make. A whole lot of work would go into ruling out the possibility that the company is indeed not — through its procurement practices — fueling conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Your due diligence inquiry is, by definition, very involved, given the sheer amount of tiers and suppliers to traverse on average. But as per the Securities and Exchange Commission, a company should take care not to designate is products as DRC conflict-free unless it can also provide independent assurance that would lend credibility to such a claim.

JY: Incomplete reports were still an issue. How long do you think it will be until companies can, at least, fill out complete reports?

CB: Since many companies are already able to achieve full compliance — including reporting smelter Or Refiner (SOR) and Country of Origin (COO) data — the we-need-more time argument becomes less plausible.

JY: More companies underwent product audits this year. Are outside product audits necessary for full compliance?

Free Download: Last Chance for the July 2016 MMI Report

CB: A company that does not opt to use the “DRC conflict free” designation is, as per the SEC statement of April 29, 2014, not required to have an independent, private-sector audit performed.

After a gap of 30 years, the London Metal Exchange is, in collaboration with the World Gold Council, getting back into precious metals. Not just because it sees an opportunity, but because the industry is in desperate need of an efficient and professional marketplace following the departure of principal banks from London’s Gold Fix in the wake of the Libor scandal and suggestions the Gold Fix could be manipulated.

Free Download: The July 2016 MMI Report

The LME announced this week it will launch centrally cleared gold and silver contracts on a platform called LMEprecious in the first half of next year, followed by platinum and palladium.

Gold bars

Gold will trade on the basis of London good-delivery 99.5% bars in 100 ounce lots. Source: Adobe Stock/misunseo.

According to Bloomberg, the new contracts are designed to complement London’s $5 trillion over-the-counter gold and silver market and will include contracts for spot, daily and monthly futures, options and calendar spread contracts, according to the statement.

Who’s Got the LME’s Back?

Trading house OSTC and banks Goldman Sachs Group Inc., ICBC Standard Bank Plc, Morgan Stanley, Natixis SA and Societe Generale SA will co-own the LMEprecious platform and will act as liquidity providers and some 30 firms have expressed a desire to be engaged from the initial offering. Read more

MetalMiner’s index of global precious metals prices notched the second-largest move for August in our Monthly MMI series, behind only the Stainless MMI.

Global-Precious-Metals_Chart_August-2016_FNL

The Global Precious MMI rose 7.2%, from 83 to 89, between July and August. Gold prices again drove the move, with U.S. bullion logging its second straight month above the $1,300 per ounce threshold; however, the U.S. palladium price experienced a significant jump, rising 18.4% over the month.

Palladium on a Bullish Rebound

After hitting multiyear lows at the beginning of 2016, palladium has begun a slow down but its long-term ascent is still acting rather bullish.

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The PGM has been making higher highs and lower lows since January, and hit above $700 per ounce at the beginning of August.

palladium historical price chart 2016

Why?

Looks like investors have been giving palladium and its cousin platinum some more love.

Analysts at INTL FC Stone and Citi Research have said recently that they think investors have taken some of the money they’ve been putting behind gold and spreading it to the PGMs, according to the WSJ.

Back to Gold

While U.S. gold prices have hovered recently, they are still far ahead of their pre-Brexit levels. The Federal Reserve‘s dovishness has not given investors any reason to abandon their investments in gold, or silver for that matter.

Core Consultants Group opined recently that gold broke through a psychologically important barrier of when it crossed $1,300/ounce and is still finding overall bidding interest despite the slight declines in the price during the last few weeks.

Free Download: The July 2016 MMI Report

We, too, can’t see gold’s recent increases being pushed back, or even tempered, by anything other than significant interest rate increases by the Fed. The type of radical action that the central bank has shown no stomach for, lately, despite recent comments that it won’t rule out increasing rates this year.

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Gold and silver will return to the London Metal Exchange soon and China’s pollution crackdown may affect tin prices as many smelters have shut down.

Gold and Silver Return to the LME

The London Metal Exchange said today it is planning to launch spot and futures contracts for gold and silver in the first half of 2017, adding to its list of products which includes copper and aluminum.

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The 139-year old exchange is working in collaboration with the World Gold Council, an industry body backed by gold mining companies such as Barrick Gold and Goldcorp, and is supported by five banks and proprietary trader OSTC, which have committed to provide liquidity.

China Cracks Down on Pollution

China could ramp up imports of refined tin as a string of environmental inspections at smelters in the world’s top producer of the metal curbs local output.

Free Download: The July 2016 MMI Report

Officials in eight provinces last month began inspecting metals producers including tin smelters, forcing some to shutter production while they look to comply with environmental standards, according to industry officials and analysts.

The boost that the Automotive MMI recently felt from platinum and palladium continues as automotive catalyst prices continued to post strong increases, bolstering our sub-index to a 3% increase.

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Yet, end user automotive sales are starting to show signs of plateauing after years of increases. Sales for the top three automakers selling in the U.S. increased, but slipped off their record pace in July as the strong growth rate that defined the past six years slowed to a crawl.

Automotive_Chart_Aug-2016_FNL

Declines at General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. and Toyota Motor Corp. overshadowed increases by smaller rivals, including Nissan Motor Co. and Honda Motor Co. Sales were on pace to set another record this year but that’s in serious doubt after this report.

Analysts say sales incentives and fleet sales need to play a bigger role in the market to get back on that record pace. Overall sales increased modestly in July, rising 0.7% to 1.52 million, according to research firm Autodata Corp., translating to a seasonally adjusted annualized selling pace of 17.9 million.

While higher than the prior July, the adjusted sales pace has leveled off compared with the sizable year-over-year increases from 2015’s final six months, which drove the U.S. light-vehicle market last year to its first record in a decade and a half.

Compare Prices With The July 2016 MMI Report

Meanwhile, prices of automotive metals are still being buoyed by the bull run in precious metals. Catalysts are no exception and platinum and palladium prices posted strong increases while offsetting losses by other automotive metals, such as hot-dipped galvanized steel. With no sign of an increase in interest rates from the Federal Reserve anytime soon, expect the calalyst metals — and gold and silver — to continue increasing.

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The Commerce Department said construction spending declined 0.6% to its lowest level since June 2015 after dipping 0.1% in May. June marked the third straight month of declines in outlays.

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Economists polled by Reuters had forecast construction spending increasing 0.5% in June after a previously reported 0.8% drop in May. Their June estimates were largely based on the government’s assumptions for private residential and nonresidential construction spending in the advance GDP report.

Construction_Chart_August_2016_FNL

Weak nonresidential spending and a pullback in home building were credited for the drop. Our Construction MMI still increased from 66 to 67 this month, largely based on jumps in still-in-demand steel products such as rebar and H-beams. Those prices made up for steep drops elsewhere to eke out the 1.5% increase.

However, weak U.S. economic growth seems to have finally hit the construction industry, previously a bright spot of the U.S. economy. A third straight month of declining construction spending will certainly be reflected soon in overall purchasing.

“It’s a deceleration process after two years of fairly decent growth,” Robert Murray, chief economist of Dodge Data & Analytics, told Reuters.

Compare Prices With The July 2016 MMI Report

The slowdown can be seen in construction payrolls. Adjusted for seasonal fluctuations, the number of people working in construction has dropped by 22,000 since hitting a post-recession peak in March of about 6.7 million.

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