Set against the backdrop of the recent presidential election, the media’s constant referral to protecting American jobs and employment should come as no surprise, even though the level of national employment has never been better.
The reality, of course, is that national figures mask regional disparities and the disproportionate impact in some industries of offshoring and global competition has been intense. In practice, though, globalization is only part of the issue when it comes to the loss of jobs in certain industries. There has been a great deal of recent research which supports the position that automation is having as much, if not more, impact on certain industries than competition from abroad.
As the Financial Times observed recently, automation has been a constant for decades, and the latest advances in robotics and artificial intelligence all but guarantee that the pace will accelerate, but some industries or job roles are particularly vulnerable to replacement by machines. All industries operate in a global environment, the decision as to whether to invest in automated processes should not and cannot be made based on employment, alone, if firms want to survive in the long-term.
The key question is not whether automation, robotics or artificial intelligence will replace humans in existing roles, the question is simply when. For society at large, the pace of automation will determine how easily the displacement of workers can be handled — and whether this creates a political backlash or is accommodated through retraining and the creation of new jobs.
We are used to seeing rows of gleaming robots assembling cars in modern automotive factories but a recent article in Direct Industry explores developments in the agricultural industry and highlights the fast pace of robotic developments that could well see the replacement of humans for many agricultural activities in the years ahead. Read more