Grain-Oriented Electrical Steel M3 Prices Dip Slightly Despite Solid Demand

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The MetalMiner monthly domestic GOES MMI reading continued its slide moving from 195 to 191 in its third consecutive month of declines against smaller import volumes, despite a higher domestic surcharge.

Two-Month Trial: Metal Buying Outlook

Unlike U.S. steel pricing, the various global trade cases on grain-oriented electrical steel have had somewhat of a limited impact on global prices.

GOES_Chart_June_2016_FNL

The demand for certain types of steels has created shortages for some materials and surpluses for others and may help explain why the M3 price has drifted lower as opposed to moving higher (we’d expect to see rising U.S. prices in particular as a result of the closure of the Allegheny Technologies, Inc. GOES line).

Tex Reports suggests that prices have begun to rise in China because of the anti-dumping cases placing a squeeze on products coming from overseas mills, and, therefore, diverting them to other markets in the Middle East and India, with no price increases.

Compare Prices With The May 2016 MMI Report

The dynamics between the high-grade products and the standard/lower grade products have kept domestic spot M3 prices in check. Last month we reported that market participants thought M3 prices would flatten during the summer and then start slipping toward the end of the year. Indeed this appears to be happening but perhaps sooner than anticipated.

Datamyne_GOES_Chart_432_060816

Source: Datamyne

Meanwhile, the volume of imports of transformer parts has risen since a dip back in February of this year. This suggests to us that demand has held reasonably steady.

Exact GOES Coil Price This Month

The U.S. grain-oriented electrical steel (GOES) coil price fell from $2,687 per metric ton to $2629 per mt.

The GOES MMI® collects and weights 1 global grain-oriented electrical steel price point to provide a unique view into price trends over a 30-day period. For more information on the GOES MMI®, how it’s calculated or how your company can use the index, please drop us a note at: info (at) agmetalminer (dot) com.

 

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