July Nickel Price Forecast: Miners Losing Cash Despite Price Surge

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Nickel price investment trading arrow going up rising strong indDespite nickel prices going on a hot streak — having climbed 40% since bottoming out at the beginning of the year — many nickel miners are seeing diminishing returns on their production.

According to a recent report from the Financial Post, Sherritt International Corp., a Canadian nickel miner, announced recently that more than half of global output is losing money with the percentage of underwater production even higher when capital spending and other costs are factored in.

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“This rally in the last few weeks is perhaps more robust than some false starts we’ve had over the last year,” David Pathe, chief executive at Sherritt, told the Financial Post. “But it’s got a ways to go before we think we’re at a long-term nickel price that’s sustainable.”

Prior to the recent surge, nickel prices had been a victim to lagging demand, rising inventories and supply from the Philippines in recent years. The recent increase in nickel prices has been partially attributed to speculation that new environmental regulations from the Philippine government will spur mine closures yet only a few small mines have actually been shut down so far, the Financial Post stated.

Nickel Imports Rise

According to a recent piece from our own Raul de Frutos, nickel, along with zinc, have benefited from higher demand coming from China.

de Frutos stated: “In the case of nickel, the supply shortage comes as the new mining minister in the Philippines, Regina Lopez, said that there would be a ban on fresh mining exploration in the country for a month while all existing mines are being reviewed. At present, the Philippines is the top supplier of nickel ore to China and these new developments have sparked concerns about ore supply to China.”

You can find a more in-depth nickel price forecast and outlook in our brand new Monthly Metal Buying Outlook report. Check it out to receive short- and long-term buying strategies with specific price thresholds.


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