China is now home to two-thirds of the world’s solar-production capacity.
The efficiency with which China’s solar products convert sunlight into electricity is increasingly close to that of panels made by American, German and South Korean companies. Because China also buys half of the world’s new solar panels, the country now effectively controls the panel market.
A recent New York Times article details the meteoric rise of China’s solar industry and how its dominance in growing markets complicates the Trump administration’s attempts to cut down the U.S. trade deficit with China. China’s policy shifts and business decisions now have global impact on solar prices and production, particularly of crystalline polysilicon photovoltaic panels, everywhere else in the world.
Now that China is cutting subsidies that it offers to panel manufacturers there, the ripples are being felt by installers in the U.S. and elsewhere. China’s solar-panel makers have recently cut their prices by more than a quarter, sending global prices plummeting. The NYT reports that Western companies have found themselves unable to compete. They have cut jobs from Germany to Michigan to Texas and the account includes the case of Russell Abney, a 49-year-old equipment engineer from Perrysburg, Ohio. The American panel manufacturer he worked for laid off Abney, among others, to remain competitive after China yanked its subsidies and manufacturers there lowered domestic prices to compensate.
If China’s dominance of solar panel manufacturing remains, able to move markets and cause layoffs worldwide depending on which subsidies are continued and which are scrapped, then the solar panel silicon market is likely to remain in the low-price rut we’ve documented in the Renewables MMI since 2012.
The Renewables MMI fell one point to 54 this month.
Actual Renewables Prices
Chinese silicon fell .3% to $1,756.13 a metric ton this month from $1,761.77/mt last month. U.S. Steel plate increased 7% to $771 a ton this month from $723/ton last month.