This week, a comprehensive analysis of Dodd-Frank conflict minerals compliance filings showed that while some companies are going the extra mile to insure tantalum, tin, tungsten and gold are NOT influenced by the war in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, some still have a long way to go.
Sadly, no Party City filing this year attesting to how conflict-free mylar party balloons are.
MetalMiner Olympic Construction Beat
The rushed and low-bid Olympic venues of Rio struck again this week as we all had to make sure to nut adjust the contrast on our sets when the games treated us to green water in indoor pools. Apparently they just ran out of pool-cleaning chemicals, not a high-up line-item in the Olympic punchlist, I’d imagine.
Our Metal Markets kept gaining this week as the Federal Reserve is still showing no stomach for interest rate increases and China’s stimulus keeps on stimulating. The London Metal Exchange is even breaking 30 years of tradition and introducing gold and silver contracts to get in on all of the precious fun.
“Hey guys, let’s do this for silver and gold, too! Then, eventually, PGMs, too?” Source: London Metal Exchange.
Fresh off of slapping member-warehouse operatorMetro International on the wrist, the LME is looking to expand its product mix and bring a greater return back to owner Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, Ltd.
In a letter this week to U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew and U.S. Mint Principal Deputy Director Rhett Jeppson, Institute of Scrap Recycling industries President Robin Wiener requested that the Mint reconsider its blanket moratorium on the repurchase of mutilated coins. ISRI requested an opportunity to meet with the appropriate representatives of the Mint and the Treasury to discuss this matter in further detail, too.
“Men, the real money is in selling zinc to the Mint to make nickels and pennies. not this smelting stuff. ” Source: Adobe Stock/Bonzodog.
Mutilated coins, such as the ones between the seat cushions of your old car that you’ve taken to get scrapped or even the pennies you placed on train tracks as a kid, could be a real boon to scrap yard recycler/operators. As scrap, they’re already cheaper than that more-than-penny-zinc the Mint buys to make new pennies and nickels. Read more
This week was more about markets shaking out from the initial shock of the U.K. actually voting to leave the European Union. U.K. politicians tried to stress stability, assuring India’s Tata Steel that the nation is still offering a lucrative equity stake and pension relief deal to keep the company’s sprawling Port Talbot, South Wales, steelworks open. Of course, Tata’s not buying it. At least not yet, as the whole steel deal making landscape has shifted in Europe. Could be that Tata just realized it has all of the leverage right now and U.K. politicians will have to sweeten the pot to keep Port Talbot’s doors open.
Gold is up as investors look to shield their money from volatile stock markets. Source: Adobe Stock/Nikonomad.
But things aren’t all unicorns and rainbows back in the E.U., either. Regulators in Germany are investigating the novel idea of a buyers’ price fixing cartel. You heard that right. Not a conspiracy of sellers to fix prices — like when Apple and several publishers colluded to set e-book prices and we all got Amazon credits for it — but one by German automakers and original equipment manufacturers such as BMW, Volkswagen, Robert Bosch, ZF Friedrichshafen and Daimler to somehow fix prices of the steel that they buy to create the cars they sell.
The fact that the buyers don’t have the power to set prices like sellers do did not deter the Federal Cartel Office, also known as the Bundeskartellamt, an independent “higher federal authority” established to protect competition in Germany.
MetalMiner Executive Editor and Co-Founder Lisa Reisman pointed out that it’s highly unlikely that all six companies decided that they would collude to extract steel price concessions from Germany’s largest steelmaker ThyssenKrupp AG, leaving ThyssenKrupp without a home for all of that hot-dipped galvanized steel it’s trying to sell to automakers. In that scenario, where would Germany’s automakers go for all of their steel? China? The U.S.? Good luck with your investigation, Bundeskartellamt.
Even when metals prices were rising across the board in the first quarter, aluminum was the laggard as oversupply still kept investors from buying it and construction demand remained tepid. Thanks to Chinese stimulus that construction demand has shot up and aluminum prices with it.
Aluminum: Smelt All You Want!
Reuters’ Andy Home and our own Stuart Burns both noted that while Beijing is doing everything it can to clean up overproduction in its steel sector — and the resultant pollution that comes with it — there’s no such commitment from the top when it comes to aluminum, mostly because of the state-of-the-art smelters Chinese companies have invested in.
How are Chinese smelters making money? Source: Adobe Stock/Pavel Losevsky.
So, to recap, steel overproduction and pollution is bad but aluminum overproduction and, relatively, smog-free smelting? China is a-okay with that. What could possibly go wrong?
Meanwhile, things have gone significantly awry at Rio Tinto Group. The Anglo-Australian multinational miner shook up its organizational structure this week and head of iron ore commodities Andrew Harding was passed over for the CEO job by copper and coal division leader Jean-Sebastian Jacques. Jacques, a native of France, has only been there since 2011. Harding has been with Rio for 25 years and had been expected to replace departing CEO Sam Walsh this month. Read more
U.S. investors swung and missed with a lawsuit over aluminum wait times against several banks who also trade metals, but now they’ve seemingly hit paydirt with a similar lawsuit over zinc storage. Glencore‘s Pacorini warehouse operations business will have to defend the suit as there are seemingly falsified documents at the center of the gripes from customers.
Unlike our previous coverage of warehouse shenanigans, the Pacorini lawsuit has little to do with premiums. In fact, premiums have been acting remarkably normal this year. My colleague, Stuart Burns, explained howLondon Metal Exchange policies and simply better performance has reduced the queues almost everywhere.
Nope, the zinc lawsuit deals with falsified orders designed to conceal when and where metal entered the warehouse complex.
While premiums are, mercifully, now acting more normally, some unexplainable market weirdness continues. The LME warehouse in Vlissingen, Netherlands, is behaving as oddly as ever. After dropping to “just” 116 days in February it has since ballooned out again to 336 days following the cancellation from warrant of 656,000 mt in late March and April.
The advantage Ford holds, and the reason the automaker pursued aluminum for truck beds in the first place, is that their F-150 is still much lighter and conforms more easily to federal corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards. Perhaps Ford should break out the scales and do a fuel economy comparison to strike back at GM? Or should it just keep repeating “military grade aluminum?”
While the automakers were duking it out about who’s truck is tougher, actual steelmakers turned their attention to Beijing where the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue took place. U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew called on China to, again, cut excess steel production capacity. China said they would. Again.
The steelmakers gave that a hearty “put or show up.” Well, the American Iron and Steel Instituteused more words but that was, essentially, the gist. Our own Stuart Burns also noted that steel is just one of many things that China overproduces and there really might not be much that Beijing can actually do to rein in the wealth of tiny producers of steel and refiners of diesel fuel in its far-flung provinces.
This week saw the return of British Steel, thanks to a sale of some of its U.K. Assets by Tata Steel to Greybull Capital. British Steel is back, and it’s not just one of the greatest steel company names, but also the title of heavy metal band Judas Priest’s best-selling album.
1980’s “British Steel” brought us Rob Halford-sung anthems such as “Living After Midnight,” “Breaking the Law” and “Metal Gods.” It’s one of many albums that takes a bit of a narrow view of the musical term heavy metal in specifying steel as the metal it pays tribute to.
Greybull Capital and CBS Records should seriously get together and work on a new logo. Album Cover Image: CBS Records.
That got us at the MetalMiner week-in-review thinking: What other great heavy metal bands, albums and songs celebrate steel? Or were inspired by it? There’s certainly glam-rock tribute band Steel Panther.
Steel Towns and Heavy Metal
All of the original members of Def Leppard famously hail from the then-steel-producing town of Sheffield, England. Sweden brought us, simple and to the point, Steel.
Halford’s replacement in Judas Priest from 1996 to 2003, Chris “Ripper” Owens hails from renowned steel town Pittsburgh, Pa. ’80s Pittsburgh also brought us the story of a certain welder/dancer. Owens also played in a Judas Priest tribute band before being selected to replace Halford. The entire story was fictionalized in the Mark Wahlberg film “Rock Star.” The name of that cover band? Yep, British Steel.
I began my career at Mexico’s only stainless steel mill, Mexinox (now part of the Finnish company Outokumpu), which supplied tequila distilleries with the stainless steel used for fermentation and storage tanks. Tequila is a quintessential Mexican drink and was enjoyed by many a customer visiting the Mexinox plant (off-site, of course).
Source: Katie Benchina Olsen/MetalMiner.
After a tour of the plant, it was only appropriate that we gave our customers commemorative bottles of Mexinox-branded El Gran Viejo Tequila to bring back home to the States. I thought it would be interesting to examine just how stainless is used in tequila production.
Why is stainless steel in tequila production? Of course, stainless vats are a sanitary choice; however, stainless does not impart any additional flavors into the mixture of blue agave juice and the distinctive water called the mosto.
Tequila is distilled twice in accordance with Mexican law. Because no leeching occurs in either the fermentation or distillation process when stainless is used, the resulting tequila “blanco” is clear in color and solely the result of the fermentation of the agave juice and spring water.
The addition of proprietary yeast — and classical music in some cases, finishes out the blend.
A former colleague of mine shared that Cazadores plays classical music in the fermentation room because the sound waves create a soft stirring in the tanks that aides in the fermentation process. Many people describe the resulting tequila after two distillation processes as being light with citrus or aloe vera notes. Blanco tequila is aged less than two months in stainless barrels and then bottled. The darker colored tequilas are those that have been aged in oak barrels which means the tequila takes on the flavors of the wood and the harshness of the alcohol mellows.
Anejo or Reposado?
Reposado is aged two months to under a year, and anejo is aged from one to three years. Once the aging is complete, the tequila can then be stored in stainless tanks again until it is bottled.
Stainless steel is a neutral container that allows the natural elements of the blue agave to be fully experienced. The soil and climate have an impact on the taste of the blue agave hearts.
Tequila from the lowland blue agaves is described to have an earthy flavor whereas the highland blue agaves yield sweeter and fruitier flavors. The other factor in the taste of the finished product is the water which is combined with the blue agave juice.
Just as bourbon has a unique taste because of the limestone in the Kentucky water, tequila has a special taste because the regional water is high in mineral content. Stainless steel allows all of these factors of Mother Nature to mix together to create a unique tequila without adding any of its own character. By the way, Mother Nature had a way of bringing tequila to us, supposedly, by a farmer’s wife seeing a rabbit gnawing on a fermented agave plant, according to the Suerte website. I suppose it was luck “suerte” that brought tequila to civilization.
Even as world steel powers gathered in Brussels this week to discuss the massive overcapacity problem and exchange accusations, particularly between the U.S. and China, steel prices continued to rise globally.
In China, that means zombie steel mills are rising from the dead. While Beijing has engineered some steel capacity cuts, its efforts are being undermined by a rise in domestic steel prices that has seen mills ramp up output. Even those zombies, which had stopped production but were never officially closed down. They have clawed their way back from the grave and are producing steel again. Such is life in the people’s republic.
The zombie steel mills are back from the grave! Source: Adobe Stock/James Thew.
Steel wasn’t the only metal threatened by imports, though, this week. The United Steelworkersfiled a safeguard action against imports of aluminum, mostly from China. If found to be in violation of section 201 of U.S. trade law and impose tariffs of up to 50% on primary unwrought aluminum (read, ingots welded together to form “semi-finished products”).
Hey, maybe the zombie mills are just “semi-finished,” too! That is, shut down but never really out of business. Here in the U.S., when a company is in trouble it files for bankruptcy protection. That’s exactly what once high-flying renewable energy company SunEdison, a major supplier of solar power, did this week.
There’s simply no mechanisms to deal with losses that way for these Chinese zombie mills. Yet, China claims to be committed to changing to a market-based economy. That’s why it’s so ridiculous that the World Trade Organization and other international trade authorities are even considering market-based economy status for the evolving Chinese economy.
There’s a big meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries this weekend and all signs point to a continued freeze in production, at least among major producers Russia and Saudi Arabia so many speculators and market watchers are becoming bullish on oil. Oh, how quickly they turn!
Oil and Inflation
A direct knock-off of this oil mini surge is price inflation of everything that oil is used to produce, whether as a base material or for transport and production costs. What’s our favorite industrial metal that also has investment potential and is still considered so downright precious?
That’s right, silver! Despite being mined with just about every other metal in the world silver is still a precious metal and its industrial uses combined this week with investors grabbing it up to create a sweet spot for the gray metal. As of this writing it’s riding a 10-month high and looking to gain even more.
Aluminum Still Lags
However, not all metals are enjoying a healthy rebound. Alcoa, Inc. reported first quarter results this week and things weren’t so good for the aluminum smelter. How bad was it? Profits fell 92%. So, yeah, pretty bad.
Our own Stuart Burns put virtual pen to paper and explained that, thanks to Chinese overproduction and stockpiling, smelting aluminum simply isn’t a good business to be in right now. He even called it “an industry on the cusp of shooting itself in the foot.”
If there’s a better example of why Alcoa will soon split itself into two and CEO Klaus Kleinfeld will join the new aerospace, titanium and value-added products half, I haven’t seen it.
Copper Loses All its Gains
My colleague Raul de Frutos also examined why copper has underachieved this year, even amidst the Q1 base metals rally. Dr. Copper is apparently only starting on the back nine and didn’t do any real work in Q1. We’ll monitor the situation with the rest of the base metals in Q2.