Global Precious MMI: Palladium Prices Soar to Record High

The Global Precious Monthly Metals Index (MMI) jumped six points this month, rising for a November MMI reading of 113.
Keep up to date on everything going on in the world of trade and tariffs via MetalMiner’s Trade Resource Center.

Palladium-Platinum Spread Widens

As noted here many times before, platinum had historically traded at a premium to palladium.
That relationship, however, flipped as of September 2017, and has remained flipped ever since.
The palladium-platinum spread widened this month, even as platinum made gains.
The spread rose to $850/mt this month, up from $763/mt last month.

Looking Ahead

Gold and silver enjoyed a strong run-up during the summer season, but what is ahead for the precious metals?

“Having risen into the summer, gold and silver prices have plateaued in Q3 even as some ETFs have seen strong inflows due to accommodative monetary policies, such as falling Fed rates and safe haven buying in the face of geopolitical uncertainty,” MetalMiner’s Stuart Burns explained. “But jewelry demand is down, central bank buying of gold is lower than the same time last year and a strong dollar set up a number of headwinds that have seen prices unwind as news comes out about a possible winding back of tariffs between the US and China.”

As for platinum, prices did not tick up as much as one might have expected given trends in the automotive industry.

“Likewise, platinum prices have failed to make any headway in Q3 despite a strong showing from other PGMs, such as palladium and rhodium, both of which continue to benefit from the switch to petrol internal combustion engines among European carmakers,” Burns added.

“Gold, silver and palladium prices are expected to ease further in the run up to the year-end while other PGMs will be swayed more by car production and dollar strength. Much will depend on a successful outcome to the encouraging progress on trade talks, which could see investors take a more bullish attitude on risk to industrial metals and weaken demand for safe-haven investment metals.”

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Actual Metal Prices and Trends

The U.S. silver ingot/bar price rose 5.0% month over month to $18.08/ounce as of Nov. 1.
U.S. platinum bars rose 6.3% to $930/ounce. U.S. palladium bars jumped 8.7% to $1,780/ounce.
Chinese gold bullion rose 1.7% to $48.79/gram. U.S. gold bullion increased 2.3% to $1,512.70/ounce.

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