Fouad Egbaria

Rare Earths MMI: U.S. National Energy Technology Lab Works on Rare Earth Element Recovery Projects

The Rare Earths MMI (Monthly Metals Index) hit 20 for our February meeting, up from 18 last month. 
Several of the heavier hitters in the basket of metals posted price increases this past month. Yttrium jumped 3.3%, while terbium oxide rose 12.4%.
Neodymium oxide surged 11.3% and dysprosium oxide rose 6.0%.

U.S. Lab Works to Increase Rare Earth Element Recovery

As we mention here every month, China has overwhelming control of the global rare earths market, meaning supply-side squeezes in the country often yield price spikes for the valuable materials used in things from electric vehicles to smartphones.
Unsurprisingly, the U.S. is looking for ways to increase its ability to recover rare earth elements (REEs) in domestic supplies of coal.
According to the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), it is taking steps toward that goal.
“Four rare earth elements (REEs) recovery projects managed by the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Fossil Energy and the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) have made significant progress in the development of a domestic supply of REEs from coal and coal by-products by successfully producing REE concentrates,” a NETL release states.
The lab has run four test projects in different parts of the country. According to the release, the results of the projects are as follows:

  • Physical Sciences, Inc. (pilot-scale project) achieved 40 percent REE concentration at 15 percent REE recovery using post-combustion fly ash from burning Central Appalachian Basin coal. Field implementation and testing of physical processing technology will occur in Kentucky, with subsequent chemical processing in Pennsylvania.

  • The University of Kentucky (pilot-scale project) achieved greater than 80 percent REE concentration at greater than 75 percent REE recovery using Central Appalachian Basin and Illinois Basin coal preparation plant refuse. The project team plans to implement and test their technology at multiple field locations in Kentucky.

  • The University of North Dakota (bench-scale project) achieved 2 percent REE concentration at 35 percent REE recovery using North Dakota lignite coal. The University will build and test the technology in their laboratory.

  • West Virginia University (WVU) (bench-scale project) achieved 5 percent REE concentration at greater than 90 percent REE recovery using acid mine drainage solids from the Northern Appalachian and Central Appalachian Basins. WVU plans to build and test their unit in the WVU laboratory.

Of course, any new domestic capacity to recover REEs in the U.S. will be met with happiness by domestic end users, who have to pay a fortune for these rare and valuable materials.

Southeastern Alaska Town to be New Home of Rare Earths Plant

According to the a report in Mining News, the town of Ketchikan, Alaska, was chosen to be the new home of a rare earths processing facility.
Ucore Rare Metals Inc. picked the southeastern Alaska town for a new planned strategic metals complex (SMC).
“Engineering and economic studies have confirmed that Ketchikan is our preferred location to construct our first strategic and critical metals separation facility” said Mike Schrider, Ucore’s vice president of operations and engineering, in a company release. “Additional engineering and product specification criteria are being initiated at this time targeting rare earth by-products and primary concentrates from non-Chinese sourced projects world-wide. The intent is also to maintain the processing flexibility and capacity to accommodate ore concentrate from the Bokan-Dotson Ridge Project, once that project has been developed.”
According to the release, among other factors, Ketchikan’s proximity to the container port and rail head at Prince Rupert was cited as part of the locale’s desirability for the new SMC.
“Ketchikan features deep water port, barge-container facilities and direct access to markets in the US and the Pacific Rim by way of ocean vessel, the lowest-cost mode of bulk transport,” the release states. “Ketchikan offers a unique work force, ice-free harbors and is in close proximity to Ucore’s flagship in-situ development project, the Bokan Dotson-Ridge Rare Earth Project (“Bokan”).

Actual Metal Prices and Trends

This Morning in Metals: Rusal Aluminum Production Rises 1.5% in Q4 2017

This morning in metals news, Rusal saw its fourth quarter 2017 aluminum production rise, commodities generally escaped the brunt of Monday’s market plummet and European steel demand is set to rise in 2018. Need buying strategies for steel? Try two free months of MetalMiner’s Outlook Rusal Aluminum Production Jumps According to Platts, Rusal’s Q4 2017 […]

Construction MMI: 2017 U.S. Construction Spending Rises 2.7%

Construction MMI: 2017 U.S. Construction Spending Rises 2.7%

The Construction MMI stood pat this past month, holding at 94 for our February reading.
Need buying strategies for steel? Try two free months of MetalMiner’s Outlook
Within the basketball of metals, Chinese rebar dropped 6.6%, while Chinese H-beam steel rose 3.3%.
U.S. shredded scrap steel jumped 7.7%. European 1050 sheet aluminum dropped marginally (by 0.05%), while the Chinese aluminum bar price jumped 1.7%.

U.S. Construction Spending

According to the most recently available Census Bureau data, U.S. construction spending in December 2017 amounted to $1,253.3 billion, up 0.7% from the revised November estimate of $1,245.1 billion.
December 2017 spending was up 2.7% year over year, compared with the $1,221.6 billion spent in December 2016.
By value, the value of construction in 2017 was $1,230.6 billion, up 3.8% from $1,185.7 billion in 2016.
Private construction spending grew more than its public counterpart. Private construction spending jumped 0.8% from the previous month to $963.2 billion, Within that umbrella, residential and nonresidential spending jumped 0.5% and 1.1%, respectively.

The value of private construction in 2017 was $950.7 billion, up 5.8% from the $898.7 billion spent in 2016. Residential construction in 2017 was $515.9 billion, up 10.6% from the 2016 figure of $466.6 billion and nonresidential construction was $434.8 billion, up 0.6% from the $432.1 billion in 2016.
Meanwhile, public construction spending jumped 0.3% to $290 billion in December 2017 from the previous month. Educational construction spending jumped 1.6% from November, while highway construction picked up a 0.3% spending gain.

Home Sales Down in December but Up for the Year

According to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales dropped in December but were up 1.1% for 2017.
The 5.51 million sales executed in 2017 marked the highest total since 2006 (6.48 million).
“Existing sales concluded the year on a softer note, but they were guided higher these last 12 months by a multi-year streak of exceptional job growth, which ignited buyer demand,” said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist, in a prepared statement. “At the same time, market conditions were far from perfect. New listings struggled to keep up with what was sold very quickly, and buying became less affordable in a large swath of the country. These two factors ultimately muted what should have been a stronger sales pace.”
New housing starts, however, were down significantly in December.
According to jointly released data from the Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, new home starts in December dropped 8.2% compared with November totals. The 1,192,000 housing starts in December also marked a drop compared with December 2016, falling by 6.0%.

The Future of Construction

According to an article in Forbes, three trends could have a significant impact on the construction industry: robotics, drone imagery and digital project collaboration tools.
“Construction will benefit from robotics in work that is dangerous, is repetitive, and where heavy lifting is required,” Zak Podkaminer, of Construction Robotics, told Forbes. “[In] high precision work such as complex designs and patterns, robotics will provide a significant time savings allowing for more digital fabrication and provide architects more creative flexibility.”

Drone imagery, meanwhile, will serve to produce more accurate site analysis, the article argues, while digital collaboration tools will help streamline a construction process that still uses a number of traditional forms of communication and data storage — fax machines, physical binders, etc. — and make the transfer of information more seamless.

Actual Metal Prices and Trends

This Morning in Metals: Voestalpine Chief Executive Warns of European Steel Overcapacity

This morning in metals news, the chief executive of Austria’s Voestalpine says Europe’s steel industry has excess capacity, copper picked up as the dollar’s gains paused and automotive aluminum use is picking up according to one survey.Need buying strategies for steel? Try two free months of MetalMiner’s Outlook Aluminum Autos The aluminum sector is becoming […]

Automotive MMI: General Motors Starts 2018 on Strong Sales Note

Automotive MMI: General Motors Starts 2018 on Strong Sales Note

The Automotive MMI got off to a hot start in 2018, picking up three points en route to a February reading of 100. The February reading marked the first triple-digit performance for the MMI since it posted a 101 in January 2014. 
As for the basket of metals, a majority of the bunch posted price increases this past month.
Need buying strategies for steel in 2018? MetalMiner’s Annual Outlook has what you need
U.S. HDG steel jumped 2.7% as of Feb. 1, while U.S. platinum bars rose 6.2%. Fellow platinum-group metal (PGM) palladium fell for the month, however, by 5.8%.
U.S. shredded scrap jumped 7.7% and Korean aluminum 5052 coil rose 6.7%.

U.S. Auto Sales

January proved to a be a mixed bag for automakers vis-a-vis their U.S. sales.
According to data from Autodata Corp released Feb. 1, topping the charts in January was General Motors Corp., with 198,386 units sold, up 13% year over year. Sales of light trucks carried the day, as they increased 12.6% to soften a 30.2% drop in car sales. (General Motors is expected to announce its fourth-quarter 2017 and full-year earnings Tuesday, Feb. 6.)
In mid-January, GM forecasted 2018 would be another good year. According to a GM release, the company benefited from “continued strength” in North America and China, plus improvement in South America.
“GM had a very good 2017 as we continued to transform our company to be more focused, resilient and profitable,” GM Chairman and CEO Mary Barra said in the release. “We are positioned for another strong year in 2018 and an even better one in 2019.”
GM touted its growth in truck sales in a release last Thursday.
“All of our brands are building momentum in the industry’s hottest and most profitable segments,” said Kurt McNeil, U.S. vice president, sales operations, in the prepared statement. “Chevrolet led the growth of the small crossover segment with the Trax as well as the mid-pickup segment with the Colorado. Now, we have the all-new Equinox and Traverse delivering higher sales, share and transaction prices.”
Meanwhile, Ford Motor Company, which called 2017 a “challenging” year during its earnings call last week, didn’t have quite as good of a month. Ford posted a 6.3% year-over-year sales drop, with 160,411 units sold in January.
Down the list, Fiat Chrysler had a rough month, posting a 12.8% year-over-year decline. Toyota sales jumped 16.8%, Honda‘s were down 1.7% and Nissan‘s jumped 10.0%.
Volkswagen, meanwhile, found itself adding to the bad press from its Dieselgate scandal when it was reported last month that the company conducted exhaust tests on monkeys. Volkswagen’s January U.S. sales were down a whopping 32.8% year over year.

China and EVs

Everybody knows about Tesla and Elon Musk — but what about China and its role in what will assuredly become an increasingly electrified automotive world?
According to Bloomberg, one small town in southeast China will house a planned $1.3 billion battery factory that could stymie the global competition.
“The company plans to raise 13.1 billion yuan ($2 billion) as soon as this year by selling a 10 percent stake, at a valuation of about $20 billion,” the Bloomberg report states. “The share sale would finance construction of a battery-cell plant second in size only to Tesla Inc.’s Gigafactory in Nevada—big enough to cement China as the leader in the technology replacing gas-guzzling engines.”
MetalMiner’s Annual Outlook provides 2018 buying strategies for carbon steel

Actual Metal Prices and Trends

Week in Review: New-Look Diet Coke, Growth in India and Ford’s Future

Before we head into the weekend, let’s take a look back at the week that was and some of the headlines here on MetalMiner: Need buying strategies for steel? Try two free months of MetalMiner’s Outlook Our Stuart Burns talked about the new-look Diet Coke, which will not only come in a series of new […]

USGS: U.S. Mines Produced $75.2 Billion in Minerals Last Year

USGS: U.S. Mines Produced $75.2 Billion in Minerals Last Year

According to a recent report from the U.S. Geological Survey, the U.S. mining industry produced $75.2 billion in minerals in 2017. Buying Aluminum in 2018? Download MetalMiner’s free annual price outlook The information was published in the USGS’s annual Mineral Commodities Survey. In the import market, the U.S. was 100% reliant on outside sources for […]

This Morning in Metals: Japan’s Steelmakers Enjoy Jump in Profits

This morning in metals news, Japan’s steelmakers are on a hot run (despite the bad press of the Kobe Steel quality data falsification scandal), U.S. Steel reported fourth-quarter 2017 net earnings of $159 million and Glencore said production in 2017 was down for most commodities. Need buying strategies for steel? Try two free months of MetalMiner’s […]

Trump Goes After Trade Deals, Calls for $1.5T in Infrastructure Spending During His First State of the Union Address

Trump Goes After Trade Deals, Calls for $1.5T in Infrastructure Spending During His First State of the Union Address

In an approximately 80-minute speech ranging from jobs and manufacturing to North Korea and Iran, President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address also touched on issues impacting the metals industry — albeit, perhaps not as directly as one might have expected. (As a brief aside, according to the American Presidency Project, which tracks […]

This Morning in Metals: Copper Rises as Dollar Falls

This morning in metals news: copper jumped as the dollar continued its slide; ArcelorMittal saw its core profits grow significantly in 2017, leading to a resumption in dividend payments; and the London Metal Exchange has a new chief operating officer. Copper Jumps Ahead of Fed Announcement Copper jumped 1% on Wednesday, according to reuters.com, ahead […]

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